Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 22 · v1

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 1 minute ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 17 March 2026 at 01:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 17th strongest of the 130 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 41 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Heavy Freezing Spray Warning issued March 16 at 12:51PM EDT until March 17 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Grand Rapids MI

Nearby, since 10 March 2026

How we know

11 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)22 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.66/1
Coordinates44.3000, -85.6000
Nearest CityTraverse City (51 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 50 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-03-16T18:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Heavy Freezing Spray Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bb2e4a4ea573a80c407336062673f732

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-03-16T18:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-03-16T17:47:55.931Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventHeavy Freezing Spray Warning
UrgencyExpected
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescGrand Haven to Whitehall MI; Whitehall to Pentwater MI; Pentwater to Manistee MI; St Joseph to South Haven MI; South Haven to Holland MI; Holland to Grand Haven MI; Seul Choix Point to Point Detour MI; 5NM East of a line from Fairport MI to Rock Island Passage and 7 more areas
HeadlineHeavy Freezing Spray Warning issued March 16 at 12:51PM EDT until March 17 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Grand Rapids MI
Expires2026-03-16T21:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Grand Rapids MI
HasExactCoordsfalse
MergedCount10
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bb2e4a4ea573a80c407336062673f73288c3ca4c.002.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bb2e4a4ea573a80c407336062673f73288c3ca4c.001.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f2263c956dc51e6632be12b6ba90db6da887d88d.002.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f2263c956dc51e6632be12b6ba90db6da887d88d.001.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f2263c956dc51e6632be12b6ba90db6da887d88d.004.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f2263c956dc51e6632be12b6ba90db6da887d88d.005.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b1145e4ac72135c79410bf436970a63614f5cd64.001.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b1145e4ac72135c79410bf436970a63614f5cd64.002.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b1145e4ac72135c79410bf436970a63614f5cd64.003.2","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bb92f9ee5c72e3e91fddb665fc18fedfba045e4e.001.2"]
Iem TypeSummary5
Iem Magnitude0.2
Iem UnitInch
Iem CityBuckley
Iem CountyWexford
Iem StateMI
Iem WfoAPX
Iem RemarkSocial media report of ruler in front of tree branch measuring radial icing.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_S_44.540_-86.110_1773666000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773666000000,"latitude":44.54,"longitude":-86.11},{"id":"iem_R_43.820_-85.410_1773675060000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773675060000,"latitude":43.82,"longitude":-85.41},{"id":"iem_R_43.880_-85.850_1773675120000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773675120000,"latitude":43.88,"longitude":-85.85},{"id":"iem_5_44.330_-85.210_1773669600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773669600000,"latitude":44.33,"longitude":-85.21},{"id":"iem_5_44.300_-84.760_1773666000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773666000000,"latitude":44.3,"longitude":-84.76},{"id":"iem_5_44.240_-85.090_1773662400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773662400000,"latitude":44.24,"longitude":-85.09},{"id":"iem_S_44.600_-85.480_1773663300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773663300000,"latitude":44.6,"longitude":-85.48},{"id":"iem_S_44.530_-86.130_1773662400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773662400000,"latitude":44.53,"longitude":-86.13},{"id":"iem_N_44.730_-85.570_1773667080000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773667080000,"latitude":44.73,"longitude":-85.57},{"id":"iem_5_44.500_-85.680_1773676800000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773676800000,"latitude":44.5,"longitude":-85.68}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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